Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 162.235104 187.259571 215.836609 251.095019 293.713604 343.927207 408.103926
2025-08-17 128.143327 159.707403 199.401794 253.782285 327.607944 426.228464 571.237526
2025-08-24 107.811360 141.480360 186.706159 253.421161 352.026173 496.961797 735.274653
2025-08-31 94.084496 128.488550 177.147147 253.312708 374.051783 566.542508 915.889016
2025-09-07 85.138992 120.312604 172.330656 258.136727 403.051370 652.205804 1149.465241
2025-09-14 74.745197 108.373425 159.818705 248.181835 405.038549 691.637854 1310.632257
2025-09-21 68.341064 101.574972 154.118192 248.039579 423.310485 764.157314 1564.290400
2025-09-28 63.367547 96.353749 150.118974 249.892090 445.187324 848.785747 1878.971211
2025-10-05 61.392653 95.693841 153.500640 265.333254 496.378297 1008.653947 2453.853296
2025-10-12 59.376135 94.681003 156.045146 279.488398 548.023995 1185.850220 3177.411710
2025-10-19 55.378311 89.807437 151.042871 277.912426 565.035215 1284.764356 3724.209802
2025-10-26 52.611590 86.815588 149.118746 282.247409 596.458590 1431.396359 4532.668963
2025-11-02 49.062382 82.386522 144.569699 281.706784 619.807676 1575.522545 5500.191111
2025-11-09 46.240470 79.063348 141.867127 285.051940 654.894515 1773.331194 6919.531602
2025-11-16 43.357910 75.317350 137.835790 284.652794 680.197463 1953.405805 8488.826429
2025-11-23 40.818295 71.970445 134.198132 284.528899 706.436158 2151.137139 10450.739439
2025-11-30 39.027011 69.908624 132.987713 290.096223 751.176689 2443.034282 13526.458916
2025-12-07 36.034923 65.171613 125.501925 278.611506 740.640274 2512.065010 15166.271909
2025-12-14 34.200122 62.631266 122.557119 278.447498 766.635320 2753.108484 18778.583080
2025-12-21 32.692450 60.631780 120.594506 280.583511 801.262460 3057.849530 23886.246707
2025-12-28 32.340612 61.017916 124.101606 298.407971 897.129266 3738.427408 35938.319387
2026-01-04 31.863721 61.086949 126.874281 314.778745 994.713377 4526.428775 54369.664645
2026-01-11 30.354967 58.773530 123.675964 312.954673 1020.980941 4922.300646 69059.366390